RBI's Stealth Hike: Borrowing Gets Costlier Without Rate Twists - Hemank Purohit


RBI hiked interest rates in a new fashion this time.

Some refreshers:

Banks are the bridge between people who have excess money and people who are need of one. A bank typically takes deposits from customers and lends them to the borrowers.

But a bank can’t just play around with other people’s money. It has to have some skin in the game to be trusted, right?

So, as mandated by RBI, each bank has to set aside some percentage of its own money or capital for each penny they lend. This is to make sure there remains an ownership and it’s not just depositors’ hard-earned rupees that’s at stake. And here comes the concept of “Capital Adequacy Ratio” CAR as bankers normally say.

Let’s say that percentage is 10, which means for ₹100 bank lends they need to have atleast a ₹10 capital coverage. Now here is where it gets interesting, each loan has a different risk factor. For instance, if the bank gives out a home loan, it can always repossess the home if there’s a default. There is a collateral involved. But so is not the case with personal loans, right? Hence there is different risk-weightage for each loan category.

Read this for clarity:

₹100 worth of home loans, we’ll assign a risk weight of 50% because of existence of a collateral. That means we consider only ₹50 worth of this loan to be risk prone. So, bank only needs to set aside ₹5 worth of your own capital (10% of ₹50). But for personal loans, the risk weight is 100%. So if you lend ₹100, you need to keep ₹10 worth of capital.

When RBI jumps into the picture:

In mid of November, RBI through its circular had twisted the risk weightage of each class of loans. Unsecured personal loans will have a risk weight of 125% instead of 100%. And for credit cards, the risk weight will now be 150% (as compare to 100% previously).

 Ripple Effect:

1. This means that the banks have to set aside additional capital because these types of loans are considered even riskier now. The bank doesn’t earn anything from it. So, to make up for this, they might end up charging a higher interest rate on new personal loans.

2. Not just banks, but non-banking financial companies (NBFCs) and their fintech partners (like Paytm) will be found in a similar situation. This is because these entities will be hit by a two side punch — both on the assets and liabilities side.

And once the NBFCs factor in the impact of paying banks a higher interest rate and then setting aside their own capital before disbursing loans, they’ll end up charging the final borrower a much higher interest rate.

So yeah, that’s the bottom line. The RBI’s new move makes borrowing more expensive on people’s pocket. It is hoping that if people have to pay out higher interest, it will slow down the demand for loans too.

And that’s how the RBI has hiked interest rates without even hiking interest rates.

 

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