INDIA'S REDUCING DEMOGRAPHIC DIVIDEND AND IMPERATIVES FOR LEVERAGING IT - Sarthak Desai
I have always believed that India would be the next superpower after China. In retrospect, I have understood that my belief was on the rising working-age population of India that could earn money and spend accordingly on their needs and desires, resulting in robust domestic demand for goods and services. It is a good recipe for long-term economic growth. However, I have realized that advantages for India by having a large working population, compared to other young developing countries, would diminish after a decade. I wonder whether we would generate a good number of jobs for swathes of adolescents entering the workforce each year. United Nations Population Fund defines a demographic dividend as “the economic growth potential that can result from shifts in a population’s age structure, mainly when the share of the working-age population (15 to 64) is larger than the non-working-age share of the population (14 and younger, and 65 and older)". India reached this stage in 2005. It...